Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 14SP434

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 14SP434   
# Created Sun Oct 19 01:10:28 2025
# Orbit generated by ELGB
# -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit
# Fitting     45 observations of     45
# Arc:  12.06y
# First observation: 2003/07/30
#  Last observation: 2015/08/20
# Chi-squared of fit:    23.32 DOF:     84 RMS:  0.13
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.43    0.26
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.975996E-05  5.844189E-02 -2.911445E-06 -7.213921E-03  4.497515E-02  4.026067E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  3.8317E-13  1.1359E-09 -4.9796E-15 -2.2439E-10 -3.4560E-11  2.0067E-09
  1.1359E-09  8.2524E-05 -3.6231E-10 -1.6304E-05 -2.6114E-06  1.4580E-04
 -4.9796E-15 -3.6231E-10  3.6885E-13  7.1546E-11  1.1504E-11 -6.4012E-10
 -2.2439E-10 -1.6304E-05  7.1546E-11  3.2211E-06  5.1608E-07 -2.8805E-05
 -3.4560E-11 -2.6114E-06  1.1504E-11  5.1608E-07  8.9639E-08 -4.6147E-06
  2.0067E-09  1.4580E-04 -6.4012E-10 -2.8805E-05 -4.6147E-06  2.5759E-04
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
   17.156976  -56.961096   -0.062206    0.300353   -0.972748  2452850.640779
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2452850.5000  =  2003/07/30
Mean Anomaly:           79.41666 +/-     0.408
Argument of Peri:       24.81054 +/-     0.069
Long of Asc Node:      189.56069 +/-     0.013
Inclination:            17.83083 +/-     0.003
Eccentricity:         0.07350657 +/-    0.0024
Semi-Major Axis:     23.39646252 +/-    0.0028
Time of Perihelion: 2443731.8018 +/-      46.9
Perihelion:          21.67666871 +/-    0.0552
Aphelion:            25.11625634 +/-    0.0552
Period (y)              113.1706 +/-      0.02
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X           12.18789255 +/-    0.0004
Ecliptic Y          -18.62528895 +/-    0.0019
Ecliptic Z            6.55890755 +/-    0.0007
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00317519 +/-    0.0001
Ecliptic YDOT         0.00162918 +/-    0.0001
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00034713 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   23.20482341 +/-    0.0017
Geocenter to KBO     22.23450738 +/-    0.0018
# Hcoef: 10.08

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 14SP434. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (14SP434) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2003 07  30.140036 20 05 44.66   -02 44 58.2         14SP434   809  C~90HN      
2003 07  30.146428 20 05 44.60   -02 44 58.6         14SP434   809  C~90HN      
2003 07  30.152777 20 05 44.55   -02 44 58.7         14SP434   809  C~90HN      
2003 07  30.165728 20 05 44.43   -02 44 59.0         14SP434   809  C~90HN      
2010 09  13.331165 21 31 30.05   -00 56 30.4         14SP434   T14  C~90HN      
2010 09  13.336488 21 31 30.01   -00 56 30.6         14SP434   T14  C~90HN      
2010 09  13.341804 21 31 29.97   -00 56 31.2         14SP434   T14  C~90HN      
2010 09  13.347136 21 31 29.92   -00 56 31.4         14SP434   T14  C~90HN      
2010 09  13.368511 21 31 29.80   -00 56 32.9         14SP434   T14  C~90HN      
2013 09  11.208894 22 09 11.460  +00 09 21.92  23.5r 14SP434   807  C~93SG      
2014 09  18.24683  22 20 43.40   +00 24 02.0   24.4g 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2014 09  18.25107  22 20 43.37   +00 24 01.6   24.4g 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2014 09  18.27261  22 20 43.22   +00 24 00.5   24.4g 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2014 09  18.28333  22 20 43.16   +00 23 59.8   24.4g 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2014 09  18.28547  22 20 43.13   +00 23 59.6   24.5g 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2014 09  18.33749  22 20 42.79   +00 23 56.8   23.7y 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2014 09  18.34018  22 20 42.76   +00 23 56.4   23.2y 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2014 09  18.34833  22 20 42.71   +00 23 56.1   22.7y 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2014 09  18.36196  22 20 42.62   +00 23 55.6   23.1y 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2014 09  18.37024  22 20 42.56   +00 23 54.9   23.3y 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2014 09  18.37570  22 20 42.53   +00 23 54.6   23.6y 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2014 09  18.37840  22 20 42.51   +00 23 54.4   23.3y 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2014 09  22.24066  22 20 17.24   +00 20 13.5   24.0r 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2014 09  22.24493  22 20 17.21   +00 20 13.4   24.0r 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2014 09  22.27709  22 20 16.99   +00 20 11.5   24.1r 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2014 09  22.27924  22 20 16.97   +00 20 11.3   24.4r 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2014 09  22.31871  22 20 16.71   +00 20 09.2   23.9r 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2014 09  22.35060  22 20 16.51   +00 20 07.5   23.7i 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2014 09  22.35604  22 20 16.48   +00 20 06.8   23.9i 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2014 09  22.37509  22 20 16.34   +00 20 05.8   23.6i 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2014 09  28.21992  22 19 40.30   +00 14 32.2   23.6z 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2014 09  28.22688  22 19 40.28   +00 14 31.5   23.8z 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2014 09  28.22962  22 19 40.25   +00 14 31.2   23.8z 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2014 10  01.22468  22 19 22.95   +00 11 42.0   23.9z 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2014 10  01.23283  22 19 22.90   +00 11 41.5   23.8z 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2014 10  01.23821  22 19 22.85   +00 11 41.0   23.2z 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2015 07  15.55335  22 40 02.45   +01 29 58.6   24.1r 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2015 07  15.56612  22 40 02.39   +01 29 58.3   24.4r 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2015 07  15.61512  22 40 02.17   +01 29 57.6   24.4r 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2015 07  21.46208  22 39 34.41   +01 28 04.2   24.2i 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2015 07  21.48177  22 39 34.30   +01 28 03.9   23.9i 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2015 07  21.53887  22 39 34.01   +01 28 02.5   24.1i 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2015 07  21.61178  22 39 33.63   +01 28 00.8   24.0i 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2015 08  20.42695  22 36 25.65   +01 10 33.3   23.3z 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      
2015 08  20.44313  22 36 25.53   +01 10 32.4   23.4z 14SP434   T09  C~90HN      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00     0.14       0.00     0.11
     2   0.0000      0.00     0.02       0.00    -0.07
     3   0.0000      0.00     0.04       0.00     0.04
     4   0.0001      0.00    -0.18       0.00     0.18
     5   7.1244      0.00     0.16       0.00    -0.01
     6   7.1244      0.00     0.07       0.00     0.09
     7   7.1244      0.00    -0.01       0.00    -0.21
     8   7.1245      0.00    -0.25       0.00    -0.12
     9   7.1245      0.00     0.00       0.00    -0.43
    10  10.1193      0.00     0.13       0.00    -0.13
    11  11.1379      0.00    -0.07       0.00     0.08
    12  11.1379      0.00    -0.09       0.00    -0.07
    13  11.1379      0.00    -0.14       0.00     0.05
    14  11.1380      0.00     0.05       0.00    -0.03
    15  11.1380      0.00    -0.18       0.00    -0.11
    16  11.1381      0.00     0.04       0.00     0.06
    17  11.1381      0.00    -0.13       0.00    -0.19
    18  11.1381      0.00    -0.05       0.00    -0.02
    19  11.1382      0.00     0.00       0.00     0.25
    20  11.1382      0.00    -0.05       0.00     0.03
    21  11.1382      0.00     0.06       0.00     0.04
    22  11.1382      0.00     0.03       0.00    -0.01
    23  11.1488      0.00     0.17       0.00    -0.05
    24  11.1488      0.00     0.14       0.00     0.10
    25  11.1489      0.00    -0.01       0.00     0.04
    26  11.1489      0.00    -0.10       0.00    -0.04
    27  11.1490      0.00    -0.12       0.00     0.12
    28  11.1491      0.00     0.01       0.00     0.25
    29  11.1491      0.00     0.10       0.00    -0.14
    30  11.1492      0.00    -0.13       0.00    -0.05
    31  11.1652      0.00    -0.08       0.00     0.19
    32  11.1652      0.00     0.25       0.00    -0.12
    33  11.1652      0.00     0.05       0.00    -0.26
    34  11.1734      0.00     0.24       0.00     0.26
    35  11.1734      0.00     0.19       0.00     0.22
    36  11.1734      0.00    -0.09       0.00     0.02
    37  11.9601      0.00     0.11       0.00     0.06
    38  11.9601      0.00     0.08       0.00    -0.03
    39  11.9602      0.00     0.13       0.00     0.08
    40  11.9762      0.00    -0.00       0.00    -0.04
    41  11.9763      0.00    -0.12       0.00     0.10
    42  11.9765      0.00    -0.00       0.00    -0.04
    43  11.9767      0.00     0.01       0.00    -0.11
    44  12.0583      0.00    -0.07       0.00     0.09
    45  12.0583      0.00    -0.09       0.00    -0.06

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

14SP434    quality flag:3

Type:       CENTAURR  CENTAURR  CENTAURR

axisobj        23.461    23.461    23.461
ecceobj         0.071     0.071     0.071
incobj         17.812    17.812    17.812
qmin           18.650    19.446    18.358
qmax           27.587    28.255    27.988
amean          23.229    23.837    23.202
amin           22.103    23.014    21.729
amax           23.687    24.332    23.762
emean           0.081     0.089     0.099
emin            0.001     0.043     0.062
emax            0.180     0.179     0.197
imean          13.842    14.731    15.211
imin            8.352     8.872    12.616
imax           17.663    17.663    17.663
excite_mean     0.257     0.271     0.283
fracstop        0.226     0.436     0.119
cjmean          2.993     2.976     2.982

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       171.5     182.1     185.4
kozaiamp        179.9     180.0     179.7