Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 15OJ190

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 15OJ190   
# Created Thu Aug 21 01:10:52 2025
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     22 observations of     22
# Arc:   0.84y
# First observation: 2014/09/18
#  Last observation: 2015/07/22
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  -0.000023   0.028982  -0.000001   0.009453   0.027036   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:    15.29 DOF:     38 RMS:  0.15
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.35    0.26
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.503412E-05  2.844567E-02  5.003457E-06  9.531593E-03  2.779078E-02  1.177110E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  2.4772E-13  1.3106E-11 -2.3070E-15  3.0401E-12  5.8575E-12  4.0057E-10
  1.3106E-11  3.2990E-09 -9.9252E-13  6.6445E-10  1.0126E-09  8.9097E-08
 -2.3070E-15 -9.9252E-13  1.4872E-13 -3.6526E-13 -2.3906E-13 -2.5270E-11
  3.0401E-12  6.6445E-10 -3.6526E-13  1.3712E-10  2.1809E-10  1.8278E-08
  5.8575E-12  1.0126E-09 -2.3906E-13  2.1809E-10  3.7989E-10  2.8969E-08
  4.0057E-10  8.9097E-08 -2.5270E-11  1.8278E-08  2.8969E-08  2.4445E-06
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
   10.264352  -22.471224   -0.302250    0.171336   -0.945613  2456918.751848
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2456910.5000  =  2014/09/10
Mean Anomaly:           24.36559 +/-    22.488
Argument of Peri:      359.42722 +/-    28.354
Long of Asc Node:      310.58648 +/-     0.013
Inclination:            20.95048 +/-     0.008
Eccentricity:         0.09830280 +/-    0.0292
Semi-Major Axis:     40.47442226 +/-    0.2644
Time of Perihelion: 2450544.8344 +/-    5874.7
Perihelion:          36.49567311 +/-    1.2051
Aphelion:            44.45317141 +/-    1.2164
Period (y)              257.5012 +/-      2.52
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X           33.72022983 +/-    0.0229
Ecliptic Y          -13.61948686 +/-    0.0095
Ecliptic Z            6.41204900 +/-    0.0045
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00101725 +/-    0.0001
Ecliptic YDOT         0.00260539 +/-    0.0001
Ecliptic ZDOT         0.00094477 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   36.92774966 +/-    0.0213
Geocenter to KBO     35.98316070 +/-    0.0252
# Hcoef:  9.91

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 15OJ190. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (15OJ190) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2014 09  18.25107  22 21 40.44   +00 47 43.3   25.9g 15OJ190   T09  C~90Hi      
2014 09  18.25969  22 21 40.36   +00 47 42.9   25.9g 15OJ190   T09  C~90Hi      
2014 09  18.27261  22 21 40.33   +00 47 42.6   26.0g 15OJ190   T09  C~90Hi      
2014 09  18.33749  22 21 39.99   +00 47 40.6   25.9y 15OJ190   T09  C~90Hi      
2014 09  18.35377  22 21 39.93   +00 47 40.3   26.0y 15OJ190   T09  C~90Hi      
2014 09  18.37024  22 21 39.86   +00 47 39.6   24.9y 15OJ190   T09  C~90Hi      
2014 09  22.24066  22 21 21.69   +00 45 49.3   26.0r 15OJ190   T09  C~90Hi      
2014 09  22.25348  22 21 21.65   +00 45 48.4   25.4r 15OJ190   T09  C~90Hi      
2014 09  22.31871  22 21 21.35   +00 45 46.9   25.4r 15OJ190   T09  C~90Hi      
2014 09  22.35333  22 21 21.19   +00 45 45.9   24.9i 15OJ190   T09  C~90Hi      
2015 07  15.45241  22 32 03.77   +02 13 33.9   25.8r 15OJ190   T09  C~8eSn      
2015 07  15.47587  22 32 03.69   +02 13 33.9   25.9r 15OJ190   T09  C~8eSn      
2015 07  15.52482  22 32 03.50   +02 13 33.9   25.5r 15OJ190   T09  C~8eSn      
2015 07  15.55122  22 32 03.41   +02 13 33.9   25.7r 15OJ190   T09  C~8eSn      
2015 07  21.45521  22 31 41.72   +02 13 15.0   25.6i 15OJ190   T09  C~8eSn      
2015 07  21.48716  22 31 41.58   +02 13 14.8   25.3i 15OJ190   T09  C~8eSn      
2015 07  21.51699  22 31 41.46   +02 13 14.8   25.5i 15OJ190   T09  C~8eSn      
2015 07  21.51969  22 31 41.46   +02 13 14.6   24.8i 15OJ190   T09  C~8eSn      
2015 07  21.54967  22 31 41.33   +02 13 14.5   25.5i 15OJ190   T09  C~8eSn      
2015 07  22.46248  22 31 37.76   +02 13 09.6   25.3z 15OJ190   T09  C~8eSn      
2015 07  22.52810  22 31 37.52   +02 13 09.6   24.8z 15OJ190   T09  C~8eSn      
2015 07  22.53081  22 31 37.50   +02 13 09.3   25.4z 15OJ190   T09  C~8eSn      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00     0.24       0.00     0.09
     2   0.0000     -1.26    -0.35       0.07     0.15
     3   0.0001     -1.79     0.13      -0.04     0.04
     4   0.0002     -7.27    -0.27      -0.03     0.03
     5   0.0003     -8.22     0.06       0.02     0.07
     6   0.0003     -9.45     0.11      -0.24    -0.20
     7   0.0109   -303.44    -0.16      -2.63     0.26
     8   0.0110   -304.33    -0.07      -3.25    -0.35
     9   0.0111   -309.07     0.14      -2.99    -0.04
    10   0.0112   -311.66     0.17      -3.04    -0.06
    11   0.8219  10594.20     0.07    1360.65    -0.02
    12   0.8220  10593.08     0.12    1361.09    -0.01
    13   0.8221  10590.43    -0.08    1362.13     0.13
    14   0.8222  10589.17    -0.01    1362.63     0.14
    15   0.8383  10278.98     0.10    1464.28    -0.12
    16   0.8384  10276.95    -0.10    1464.86    -0.09
    17   0.8385  10275.27    -0.07    1465.52     0.06
    18   0.8385  10275.20     0.02    1465.34    -0.17
    19   0.8386  10273.34    -0.12    1465.96    -0.06
    20   0.8411  10221.63    -0.23    1481.02    -0.02
    21   0.8413  10218.28     0.26    1482.34     0.19
    22   0.8413  10217.89     0.02    1482.17    -0.02

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

15OJ190    quality flag:2

Type:       SCATEXTD  SCATNEAR  SCATEXTD

axisobj        40.733    42.843    40.227
ecceobj         0.104     0.223     0.085
incobj         20.910    20.930    20.909
qmin           36.071    30.399    36.097
qmax           45.638    57.103    44.451
amean          40.698    43.120    40.176
amin           40.341    42.228    39.852
amax           41.074    43.955    40.506
emean           0.099     0.243     0.083
emin            0.087     0.206     0.069
emax            0.112     0.299     0.098
imean          22.331    21.719    22.264
imin           21.697    19.706    21.585
imax           22.823    22.935    22.850
excite_mean     0.393     0.443     0.388
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          2.879     2.853     2.879

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       173.1     175.9     177.4
kozaiamp        180.0     180.0     179.9