Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 20VQ40

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 20VQ40    
# Created Sun Oct 19 01:12:11 2025
# Orbit generated from Bernstein formalism
# Fitting     41 observations of     41
# Arc:   4.95y
# First observation: 2017/11/16
#  Last observation: 2022/10/29
Preliminary a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  -0.001458   0.030940   0.000367  -0.008998   0.028920   0.000000
# Chi-squared of fit:     4.61 DOF:     76 RMS:  0.06
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.17    0.23
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.654440E-05  2.998046E-02 -4.352842E-06 -8.731893E-03  2.881330E-02 -5.907531E-03
# Covariance matrix:
  4.7575E-13 -2.4097E-13 -3.1035E-14  3.9629E-14 -1.0070E-13 -9.3904E-13
 -2.4097E-13  1.8590E-13  3.3949E-14 -4.2710E-14  1.0023E-13  1.0135E-12
 -3.1035E-14  3.3949E-14  3.5036E-13 -1.0714E-13  1.7935E-14  2.2117E-13
  3.9629E-14 -4.2710E-14 -1.0714E-13  4.2902E-14 -2.9316E-14 -2.8003E-13
 -1.0070E-13  1.0023E-13  1.7935E-14 -2.9316E-14  1.5787E-13  6.8066E-13
 -9.3904E-13  1.0135E-12  2.2117E-13 -2.8003E-13  6.8066E-13  6.6409E-12
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
  -13.304855   45.244421   -0.153435   -0.226063   -0.956671  2458073.935086
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2458070.5000  =  2017/11/13
Mean Anomaly:          307.55183 +/-     0.008
Argument of Peri:      293.60660 +/-     0.011
Long of Asc Node:      187.76625 +/-     0.001
Inclination:            20.58610 +/-     0.000
Eccentricity:         0.20575337 +/-    0.0001
Semi-Major Axis:     39.34186969 +/-    0.0027
Time of Perihelion: 2471201.8313 +/-       1.3
Perihelion:          31.24714743 +/-    0.0041
Aphelion:            47.43659195 +/-    0.0048
Period (y)              246.7691 +/-      0.03
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X           24.36087258 +/-    0.0003
Ecliptic Y           24.78452869 +/-    0.0003
Ecliptic Z           -7.98719921 +/-    0.0001
Ecliptic XDOT        -0.00253653 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic YDOT         0.00147693 +/-    0.0000
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00067839 +/-    0.0000
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   35.65838368 +/-    0.0003
Geocenter to KBO     34.70619707 +/-    0.0005
# Hcoef:  7.91

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 20VQ40. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (20VQ40) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2017 11  16.434285 03 06 33.561  +03 39 17.16  23.2r 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2017 11  16.435459 03 06 33.558  +03 39 17.29  23.1r 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2017 11  16.436633 03 06 33.543  +03 39 17.21  23.2r 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2020 08  14.511075 03 32 56.081  +04 28 22.87  23.6w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2020 08  15.537005 03 32 57.584  +04 27 58.00  23.6w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2020 08  16.529299 03 32 58.949  +04 27 33.49  23.7w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2020 08  17.610041 03 33 00.294  +04 27 06.24  23.9w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2020 08  18.611972 03 33 01.445  +04 26 40.55  23.3w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2020 08  19.567568 03 33 02.440  +04 26 15.67  23.7w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2020 10  16.535995 03 31 05.404  +03 54 05.58  23.5w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2020 10  16.574632 03 31 05.228  +03 54 04.22  23.6w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2020 10  16.600315 03 31 05.107  +03 54 03.32  23.7w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2020 10  18.446904 03 30 56.551  +03 52 59.42  23.4w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2020 10  18.472346 03 30 56.424  +03 52 58.46  23.7w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2020 10  18.510480 03 30 56.243  +03 52 57.21  23.6w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2020 10  19.514003 03 30 51.503  +03 52 22.77  23.6w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2020 11  10.385237 03 28 57.000  +03 40 59.75  23.4w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2020 11  10.410642 03 28 56.854  +03 40 59.12  23.4w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2020 11  10.435899 03 28 56.717  +03 40 58.42  23.4w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2020 12  23.254395 03 25 15.302  +03 29 34.37  23.8w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2020 12  23.280364 03 25 15.191  +03 29 34.34  23.7w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2020 12  23.306692 03 25 15.078  +03 29 34.28  23.7w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2021 01  17.256141 03 23 59.195  +03 31 42.08  23.3w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2021 01  17.372290 03 23 58.972  +03 31 43.60  23.6w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2021 01  18.256090 03 23 57.432  +03 31 55.42  23.9w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2021 01  18.281986 03 23 57.388  +03 31 55.71  23.8w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2021 01  18.307600 03 23 57.343  +03 31 56.08  23.7w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2021 01  18.333863 03 23 57.292  +03 31 56.43  23.6w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2021 10  11.510304 03 38 55.319  +03 56 30.03  23.6w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2021 10  11.570693 03 38 55.058  +03 56 27.96  23.7w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2021 10  11.605595 03 38 54.921  +03 56 26.60  23.7w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2021 10  13.603347 03 38 46.532  +03 55 15.96  23.7w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2021 10  13.624993 03 38 46.436  +03 55 15.15  23.6w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2021 11  27.053790 03 34 52.925  +03 33 53.61  23.4r 20VQ40    269  C~93U2      
2021 11  27.064170 03 34 52.866  +03 33 53.34  23.8g 20VQ40    269  C~93U2      
2021 11  27.068000 03 34 52.849  +03 33 53.31  23.7g 20VQ40    269  C~93U2      
2021 11  27.071520 03 34 52.825  +03 33 53.27  23.2r 20VQ40    269  C~93U2      
2021 11  27.083680 03 34 52.760  +03 33 53.00  23.4r 20VQ40    269  C~93U2      
2022 08  21.594390 03 47 44.779  +04 24 11.00  23.7w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2022 08  25.540029 03 47 48.846  +04 22 20.63  23.7w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      
2022 10  29.610201 03 45 04.844  +03 45 28.23  23.6w 20VQ40    T14  C~93U2      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00    -0.02       0.00    -0.09
     2   0.0000     -0.01     0.08       0.14     0.05
     3   0.0000     -0.24    -0.06       0.12     0.03
     4   2.7435  23673.56     0.23   -3741.36    -0.17
     5   2.7463  23688.63     0.01   -3771.64    -0.03
     6   2.7491  23701.78     0.07   -3801.01     0.01
     7   2.7520  23713.90    -0.07   -3832.94     0.03
     8   2.7548  23723.61    -0.01   -3862.57     0.01
     9   2.7574  23731.27     0.00   -3890.77     0.03
    10   2.9161  21494.03    -0.02   -5275.03     0.03
    11   2.9162  21491.09     0.04   -5275.62    -0.01
    12   2.9163  21489.08     0.03   -5275.99    -0.01
    13   2.9213  21346.90    -0.03   -5302.35     0.03
    14   2.9214  21344.79    -0.13   -5302.75    -0.03
    15   2.9215  21341.81    -0.08   -5303.21     0.02
    16   2.9242  21263.32     0.02   -5316.88     0.02
    17   2.9841  19409.65    -0.04   -5502.28    -0.01
    18   2.9842  19407.35    -0.05   -5502.28     0.06
    19   2.9843  19405.17     0.03   -5502.39     0.03
    20   3.1015  16003.83     0.01   -5242.94    -0.05
    21   3.1016  16002.21     0.00   -5242.51     0.00
    22   3.1016  16000.56    -0.01   -5242.09     0.02
    23   3.1699  14937.15     0.02   -4803.34    -0.07
    24   3.1703  14934.34    -0.01   -4800.95    -0.04
    25   3.1727  14915.33    -0.01   -4783.15     0.06
    26   3.1728  14914.77     0.01   -4782.69    -0.01
    27   3.1728  14914.22     0.03   -4782.15     0.01
    28   3.1729  14913.58    -0.03   -4781.60     0.03
    29   3.9016  28405.50     0.00   -7081.18    -0.04
    30   3.9018  28401.10    -0.07   -7082.11     0.06
    31   3.9019  28398.71     0.05   -7082.87    -0.10
    32   3.9074  28256.06     0.03   -7116.77    -0.04
    33   3.9074  28254.43    -0.01   -7117.16    -0.08
    34   4.0291  24479.90    -0.01   -7392.27     0.11
    35   4.0291  24478.97    -0.04   -7392.29     0.05
    36   4.0291  24478.71     0.04   -7392.25     0.07
    37   4.0291  24478.35    -0.02   -7392.19     0.11
    38   4.0292  24477.32     0.03   -7392.18     0.06
    39   4.7616  36689.26    -0.02   -7651.48    -0.02
    40   4.7724  36719.57    -0.11   -7776.33    -0.06
    41   4.9505  33677.02     0.13   -9259.32    -0.08

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

20VQ40    quality flag:3

Type:           3:2E      3:2E      3:2E

axisobj        39.842    39.848    39.835
ecceobj         0.208     0.208     0.208
incobj         20.489    20.489    20.490
qmin           27.615    27.694    27.577
qmax           51.894    51.988    51.859
amean          39.455    39.455    39.454
amin           38.975    38.963    38.980
amax           39.996    40.009    39.998
emean           0.245     0.244     0.246
emin            0.191     0.189     0.191
emax            0.299     0.299     0.299
imean          18.947    18.977    18.916
imin           16.715    16.788    16.649
imax           20.857    20.895    20.867
excite_mean     0.408     0.408     0.408
fracstop        1.000     1.000     1.000
cjmean          2.860     2.860     2.860

libcent 0       180.7     180.1     180.7
libamp  0        93.6      96.2      91.2
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       266.9     267.4     266.6
kozaiamp         53.8      54.1      53.5