Orbit Fit and Astrometric record for 24OZ14

The following information shows the result of the orbit fit based on Gary Bernstein's method. Most of the information should be self-explanatory. Take special note that while the original Bernstein software works with barycentric coordinates, we convert these results into a heliocentric coordinate system.

# Object: 24OZ14    
# Created Sat Aug 30 01:12:19 2025
# Orbit generated by ELGB
# -->Covariance matrix from a Bernstein fit
# Fitting     51 observations of     51
# Arc:  21.18y
# First observation: 2004/05/25
#  Last observation: 2025/07/29
# Chi-squared of fit:    33.29 DOF:     96 RMS:  0.14
# Min/Max residuals:    -0.40    0.48
# Exact a, adot, b, bdot, g, gdot:
  1.782612E-05  5.736967E-02 -3.585569E-06 -8.429145E-03  5.027628E-02 -1.093851E-02
# Covariance matrix:
 -3.7818E-07 -1.5178E-03  7.5455E-08  4.2341E-04 -5.0306E-07  2.2140E-03
 -1.5178E-03 -6.0914E+00  3.0283E-04  1.6993E+00 -2.0559E-03  8.8858E+00
  7.5455E-08  3.0283E-04 -1.5053E-08 -8.4479E-05  1.0067E-07 -4.4174E-04
  4.2341E-04  1.6993E+00 -8.4479E-05 -4.7405E-01  5.7878E-04 -2.4788E+00
 -5.0306E-07 -2.0559E-03  1.0067E-07  5.7878E-04  1.0350E-03  2.9866E-03
  2.2140E-03  8.8858E+00 -4.4174E-04 -2.4788E+00  2.9866E-03 -1.2962E+01
#      lat0       lon0       xBary       yBary       zBary        JD0
   -1.921750 -129.802918   -0.253292   -0.032842   -0.980291  2453150.872612
# Heliocentric elements and errors
Epoch:              2453150.5000  =  2004/05/25
Mean Anomaly:          220.82312 +/-   315.171
Argument of Peri:      349.66286 +/-   128.805
Long of Asc Node:       38.51039 +/-   237.881
Inclination:             8.48778 +/-   169.089
Eccentricity:         0.31758880 +/-    0.9992
Semi-Major Axis:     16.41995579 +/-    1.5411
Time of Perihelion: 2462546.0239 +/-   21379.8
Perihelion:          11.20516175 +/-   16.4411
Aphelion:            21.63474983 +/-   16.5326
Period (y)               66.5375 +/-      9.37
# Ecliptic coordinates at JD0 (AU and AU/d)
Ecliptic X          -13.16240614 +/-    0.0286
Ecliptic Y          -16.18602875 +/-    0.0402
Ecliptic Z           -0.66704661 +/-    0.0092
Ecliptic XDOT         0.00278841 +/-   -0.0004
Ecliptic YDOT        -0.00153769 +/-    0.0003
Ecliptic ZDOT        -0.00043866 +/-    0.0001
# Distances at JD0 (AU)
Heliocenter to KBO   20.87304585 +/-    0.0388
Geocenter to KBO     19.89019676 +/-    2.1809
# Hcoef:  9.49

The following table shows the complete astrometric record for 24OZ14. The first three columns show the date of observation. The next six columns are RA and DEC. The next column (when provided) is the observed magnitude and filter. The next column is the object name (24OZ14) followed by the observatory code and reference code for the source of the astrometry.

2004 05  25.371869 15 08 50.10   -19 38 41.3         24OZ14    T14  C~8DtF      
2013 05  07.323415 17 37 25.11   -29 36 13.9         24OZ14    W84  C~8DtF      
2013 05  07.324628 17 37 25.11   -29 36 13.9         24OZ14    W84  C~8DtF      
2013 05  07.325823 17 37 25.09   -29 36 13.9         24OZ14    W84  C~8DtF      
2013 05  07.327026 17 37 25.07   -29 36 13.9         24OZ14    W84  C~8DtF      
2020 06  15.53140  20 31 04.710  -28 06 12.84  21.6w 24OZ14    F51  C~8DtF      
2020 06  15.55205  20 31 04.533  -28 06 13.82  21.9w 24OZ14    F51  C~8DtF      
2020 06  15.56239  20 31 04.410  -28 06 14.61  21.8w 24OZ14    F51  C~8DtF      
2021 06  13.56337  21 02 59.488  -26 09 23.21  21.3w 24OZ14    F51  C~8DtF      
2021 06  13.57443  21 02 59.395  -26 09 23.98  21.3w 24OZ14    F51  C~8DtF      
2021 06  13.58500  21 02 59.343  -26 09 24.50  21.5w 24OZ14    F51  C~8DtF      
2024 07  27.515880 22 39 44.490  -17 28 13.81  20.5w 24OZ14    F52  C~8DtF      
2024 07  27.527740 22 39 44.366  -17 28 14.78  20.4w 24OZ14    F52  C~8DtF      
2024 07  27.539610 22 39 44.250  -17 28 15.73  20.5w 24OZ14    F52  C~8DtF      
2024 07  27.551459 22 39 44.115  -17 28 16.54  20.5w 24OZ14    F52  C~8DtF      
2024 09  03.381690 22 31 37.473  -18 16 31.31  21.0w 24OZ14    F52  C~8DtF      
2024 09  03.393531 22 31 37.283  -18 16 32.01  20.8w 24OZ14    F52  C~8DtF      
2024 09  03.405368 22 31 37.135  -18 16 32.66  20.8w 24OZ14    F52  C~8DtF      
2024 09  03.417216 22 31 36.948  -18 16 33.65  20.7w 24OZ14    F52  C~8DtF      
2024 09  04.250992 22 31 25.36   -18 17 27.4   20.1G 24OZ14    W87  C~8DtF      
2024 09  04.254132 22 31 25.31   -18 17 27.7   20.1G 24OZ14    W87  C~8DtF      
2024 09  04.257479 22 31 25.27   -18 17 27.8   20.2G 24OZ14    W87  C~8DtF      
2024 09  04.260646 22 31 25.22   -18 17 28.1   20.1G 24OZ14    W87  C~8DtF      
2024 09  06.225619 22 30 58.04   -18 19 33.5   20.1G 24OZ14    W86  C~8DtF      
2024 09  06.228059 22 30 58.01   -18 19 33.8   20.1G 24OZ14    W86  C~8DtF      
2024 09  06.230494 22 30 57.97   -18 19 33.9   20.1G 24OZ14    W86  C~8DtF      
2024 09  06.232933 22 30 57.94   -18 19 34.1   20.2G 24OZ14    W86  C~8DtF      
2024 09  10.355946 22 30 01.628  -18 23 42.64  20.4w 24OZ14    F51  C~8G1M      
2024 09  10.367064 22 30 01.479  -18 23 43.32  20.3w 24OZ14    F51  C~8G1M      
2024 09  10.378185 22 30 01.320  -18 23 44.00  20.4w 24OZ14    F51  C~8G1M      
2024 09  10.389324 22 30 01.170  -18 23 44.66  20.4w 24OZ14    F51  C~8G1M      
2024 09  29.311006 22 26 06.670  -18 37 29.67  20.5w 24OZ14    F51  C~8HfJ      
2024 09  29.322471 22 26 06.542  -18 37 30.01  20.5w 24OZ14    F51  C~8HfJ      
2024 09  29.333941 22 26 06.415  -18 37 30.33  20.4w 24OZ14    F51  C~8HfJ      
2024 09  29.345424 22 26 06.286  -18 37 30.63  20.4w 24OZ14    F51  C~8HfJ      
2024 10  22.266495 22 22 57.893  -18 40 07.65  20.5w 24OZ14    F51  C~8Mo8      
2024 10  22.277067 22 22 57.838  -18 40 07.45  20.5w 24OZ14    F51  C~8Mo8      
2024 10  22.287672 22 22 57.779  -18 40 07.29  20.6w 24OZ14    F51  C~8Mo8      
2025 07  04.574720 23 18 25.974  -12 34 57.19  21.4w 24OZ14    F52  C~90Ji      
2025 07  04.585487 23 18 25.997  -12 34 56.79  21.6w 24OZ14    F52  C~90Ji      
2025 07  04.596315 23 18 25.917  -12 34 57.99  21.3w 24OZ14    F52  C~90Ji      
2025 07  20.547988 23 17 21.686  -12 48 34.58  20.8w 24OZ14    F52  C~91bO      
2025 07  20.558209 23 17 21.590  -12 48 35.47  20.8w 24OZ14    F52  C~91bO      
2025 07  20.568471 23 17 21.544  -12 48 35.87  20.6w 24OZ14    F52  C~91bO      
2025 07  25.544057 23 16 47.039  -12 53 59.81  20.3w 24OZ14    F51  C~91bO      
2025 07  25.555280 23 16 46.956  -12 54 00.63  20.3w 24OZ14    F51  C~91bO      
2025 07  25.566498 23 16 46.865  -12 54 01.37  20.3w 24OZ14    F51  C~91bO      
2025 07  25.577704 23 16 46.774  -12 54 02.16  20.3w 24OZ14    F51  C~91bO      
2025 07  29.794335 23 16 12.56   -12 58 57.7   20.7R 24OZ14    D29  C~91bO      
2025 07  29.808476 23 16 12.43   -12 58 58.9   20.5R 24OZ14    D29  C~91bO      
2025 07  29.822618 23 16 12.33   -12 58 59.3   20.4R 24OZ14    D29  C~91bO      

The following table shows the residuals to the orbit fit. The first coumn is the point number. The second column is the time, in years, measured from the first observation. The third and fifth columns are the regularized positions used in the orbit fit. The fourth and sixth columns are the residuals, in arc seconds, for RA and Dec respectively.

     1   0.0000      0.00     0.10       0.00     0.17
     2   8.9499      0.00    -0.05       0.00    -0.18
     3   8.9499      0.00     0.11       0.00    -0.16
     4   8.9499      0.00    -0.03       0.00    -0.14
     5   8.9499      0.00    -0.16       0.00    -0.13
     6  16.0579      0.00    -0.03       0.00     0.06
     7  16.0580      0.00     0.18       0.00     0.26
     8  16.0580      0.00    -0.23       0.00     0.05
     9  17.0519      0.00     0.06       0.00     0.18
    10  17.0519      0.00    -0.22       0.00     0.05
    11  17.0519      0.00     0.07       0.00     0.14
    12  20.1729      0.00    -0.03       0.00     0.07
    13  20.1729      0.00     0.01       0.00     0.02
    14  20.1729      0.00     0.16       0.00    -0.01
    15  20.1730      0.00     0.03       0.00     0.10
    16  20.2765      0.00     0.14       0.00    -0.08
    17  20.2766      0.00    -0.18       0.00     0.00
    18  20.2766      0.00     0.12       0.00     0.13
    19  20.2766      0.00    -0.16       0.00    -0.08
    20  20.2789      0.00     0.05       0.00     0.03
    21  20.2789      0.00    -0.04       0.00    -0.06
    22  20.2789      0.00     0.07       0.00     0.05
    23  20.2790      0.00    -0.00       0.00    -0.05
    24  20.2843      0.00    -0.05       0.00    -0.02
    25  20.2843      0.00     0.01       0.00    -0.17
    26  20.2843      0.00    -0.08       0.00    -0.12
    27  20.2844      0.00    -0.01       0.00    -0.17
    28  20.2956      0.00    -0.01       0.00     0.05
    29  20.2957      0.00     0.06       0.00     0.02
    30  20.2957      0.00    -0.02       0.00    -0.02
    31  20.2957      0.00     0.04       0.00    -0.04
    32  20.3475      0.00    -0.06       0.00     0.02
    33  20.3476      0.00    -0.05       0.00     0.00
    34  20.3476      0.00    -0.02       0.00     0.01
    35  20.3476      0.00    -0.03       0.00     0.03
    36  20.4104      0.00    -0.03       0.00    -0.01
    37  20.4104      0.00     0.02       0.00     0.03
    38  20.4104      0.00     0.01       0.00     0.02
    39  21.1094      0.00    -0.20       0.00    -0.34
    40  21.1094      0.00     0.47       0.00     0.48
    41  21.1094      0.00    -0.40       0.00    -0.29
    42  21.1531      0.00     0.27       0.00     0.07
    43  21.1531      0.00    -0.16       0.00    -0.18
    44  21.1532      0.00     0.16       0.00     0.06
    45  21.1668      0.00    -0.03       0.00     0.05
    46  21.1668      0.00     0.06       0.00    -0.01
    47  21.1669      0.00     0.02       0.00     0.01
    48  21.1669      0.00    -0.01       0.00    -0.02
    49  21.1784      0.00    -0.12       0.00    -0.06
    50  21.1785      0.00    -0.18       0.00    -0.24
    51  21.1785      0.00     0.21       0.00     0.38

The following table comes from a 10My integration of the orbit of the object. Three columns are shown. The first column is the result of integrating the nominal orbit. The other two columns are based on clones of the nominal orbit that are +/- 3 sigma from the nominal orbit. If all three types agree then the classificiation is deemed secure. The basis for these calculations is described in more detail in AJ, 129, 1117 (2005). Any use made of these calculations should refer to and credit this publication and the Deep Ecliptic Survey Team.

24OZ14    quality flag:3

Type:       CENTAURR  CENTAURR  CENTAURR

axisobj        16.353    16.353    16.353
ecceobj         0.323     0.323     0.323
incobj          8.523     8.523     8.523
qmin           10.804    10.760    11.024
qmax           26.762    21.649    24.221
amean          17.358    16.001    17.085
amin           15.976    15.620    15.847
amax           18.848    16.415    18.219
emean           0.354     0.301     0.313
emin            0.307     0.249     0.284
emax            0.420     0.330     0.333
imean           7.881     7.644     7.689
imin            7.190     6.729     6.816
imax            8.609     8.319     8.342
excite_mean     0.380     0.330     0.340
fracstop        0.008     0.003     0.009
cjmean          3.143     3.258     3.183

libcent 0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  0      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  1      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  2      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  3      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libcent 4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0
libamp  4      -180.0    -180.0    -180.0

kozaimean       176.1     128.5     158.5
kozaiamp        177.8     175.6     178.5